Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to the Great Pyramid, from before 11,000 BC? | Manifold

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to the Great Pyramid, from before 11,000 BC?

14

1kṀ494

2040

5%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Taken from Scott Alexander's post "Against Ice Age Civilizations" (with slight wording changes so as to fit within the character limit for titles). All of the following predictions are about structures on Earth built by homo sapiens without time travel. He puts this at 0.5%.

There was no time limit given in the post, but I've set the close date to the start of 2040 (else it could never resolve in the negative).

Will resolve to Scott Alexander's judgement if he provides it; otherwise, I will use my judgement and reports in reliable sources to try to answer it (I will not bet in this market).

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Related questions

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Buckingham Palace, from before 11,000 BC?

By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza?

By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?

By 2040, will we believe that the head of the Great Sphinx was substantially recarved after its initial construction?

Will researchers find another wooden structure that is over 400,000 years old?

Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?

Will any other research team find obelisks before 2030?

Will remains of a pharaoh be found in Sahure's pyramid?

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