Will any other research team find obelisks before 2030?
Will any other research team find obelisks before 2030?
5
110Ṁ1902030
91%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A January 2024 preprint describes the existence of viroids known as obelisks: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10827157/
This question will resolve when any preprint or peer reviewed paper NOT involving any of the original researchers also finds obelisks, or on 1 January 2030, whichever is sooner.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2033?
9% chance
Will an AI-conducted archaeological analysis uncover a previously unknown civilization by 2030?
18% chance
Will the remains of a full-scale city dating to before 12,000 years ago be found by the end of 2030?
12% chance
Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?
60% chance
Will the Oblisco Capitale be Built in Egypt Before 2030?
50% chance
By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?
32% chance
Will the alleged alien mummies from Peru be debunked before 2026?
35% chance
Will we discover aliens before 2030
9% chance
Will planet 9 be discovered before 2030?
20% chance
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
13% chance