Will any party or independent that didn’t win a seat in the 2019 U.K. general election in Great Britain win a seat in the next general election in Great Britain?
Basic
26
1.1k
2025
75%
chance

Resolves to YES if any party other than Conservative, Labour, SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, Green Party of England and Wales, or the Speaker, wins any constituency in Great Britain in the next U.K. general election (so the seat has to be in England, Scotland or Wales, not Northern Ireland). Independents count if they appear on the ballot as independents, so for example Neale Hanvey winning in 2019 does not count because he was listed as an SNP candidate even though he was suspended.

Examples of parties that would count include the Reform Party, the Scottish Greens, the Ashfield Independents, and new parties formed by splits (simply renaming a party does not count).

Jan 18, 11:44am: Will any party or independent that didn’t win a seat in the 2019 U.K. general election in Great Britain win a seat in the next general election im Great Britain? → Will any party or independent that didn’t win a seat in the 2019 U.K. general election in Great Britain win a seat in the next general election in Great Britain?

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