Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
11
1kṀ4312101
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any European country goes from being a republic to a monarchy before the year 2100, claiming to restore its monrachy (not introducing a new monarchy). The historic monarchy does not need to exactly correspond to the country restoring it (e.g. the Kingdom of Poland had different borders to modern Poland, but it would still count). Russia, Turkey and Cyprus count as part of Europe; Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan do not.
Inspired by this Tweet: https://twitter.com/AaronBastani/status/1653798589573873664?s=20
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Which country will abolish monarchy next?
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
52% chance
Will the Netherlands still be a monarchy in 2050?
51% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2090?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2080?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?
61% chance
Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
6% chance
Will any head of state/government proclaim that they are the rightful heir to a defunct historical dynasty in 2025?
38% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
75% chance