
Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
9
Ṁ346Ṁ210
2101
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ59 +497.0%
New probability
19% +4%
Resolves to YES if any European country goes from being a republic to a monarchy before the year 2100, claiming to restore its monrachy (not introducing a new monarchy). The historic monarchy does not need to exactly correspond to the country restoring it (e.g. the Kingdom of Poland had different borders to modern Poland, but it would still count). Russia, Turkey and Cyprus count as part of Europe; Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan do not.
Inspired by this Tweet: https://twitter.com/AaronBastani/status/1653798589573873664?s=20
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Bruno Pargapredicts NO
Does it count as yes if it is a current monarchy? Like, they abolish the monarchy and later restore it?
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