Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
Plus
30
Ṁ7702029
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves Yes if the state known as or formally known as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolishes its monarchy and becomes a republic before 0:00 1 January 2030. Whether other Commonwealth countries continue to have monarchs from the line of Queen Elizabeth II is irrelevant. Should any constituent country of the UK leave the union before this point, the question refers only to the rump state rather than to the seceding state. The question will resolve ambiguously should the successor state of the current UK become impossible to clearly identify.
#UK #Politics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
58% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
52% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?
65% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2060?
66% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
76% chance
Will the UK abolish the Monarchy before 2030?
5% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2090?
63% chance
Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2040?
25% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2080?
54% chance
Will Prince William become king by 2030?
67% chance