Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
31
1kṀ780
2029
6%
chance

This market resolves Yes if the state known as or formally known as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolishes its monarchy and becomes a republic before 0:00 1 January 2030. Whether other Commonwealth countries continue to have monarchs from the line of Queen Elizabeth II is irrelevant. Should any constituent country of the UK leave the union before this point, the question refers only to the rump state rather than to the seceding state. The question will resolve ambiguously should the successor state of the current UK become impossible to clearly identify.

#UK #Politics

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