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Will 3I/ATLAS maintain a steady-state outgassing rate through April 15, 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ160
Apr 15
64%
chance
This market tests the "Managed Coolant Loop" hypothesis vs. the natural "Rubble Pile" model. 

As 3I/ATLAS transits the intense radiation belts of the Jovian magnetosphere, standard cometary models predict chaotic, unpredictable spikes in outgassing ("cracking") as structural integrity is tested by thermal and gravitational stress.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA:
Resolves YES if Hydroxyl (OH) production rates remain at a stable, managed equilibrium (variance < 15%) through the April 15 transit window. Resolves NO if the object exhibits chaotic outgassing spikes (>50% variance) or structural fragmentation characteristic of natural volatile-rich bodies.

REFERENCE:
Defined as "Marker 2: Thermal Steady-State" in the C4 Institute Operational Primer and Technical Bulletin C4-2026-03-A.
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