Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023?
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resolved Jan 29
Resolved
NO
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predicted NO

Now it definitely can be resolved. Giri has been officially declared the winner.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@daniel I actually can't find the official declaration x)

predicted NO

But I will resolve in 5 Minutes either way

predicted NO

This can resolve to NO, it's impossible for Magnus to finish first, or even end up in a tie break.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@daniel If Carlsen wins and Nodirbek, Giri, and So lose in the last round, Carlsen will be tied for first, no?

predicted NO

@daniel I will wait for official confirmation, regardless of possible scores, since people might still get disqualified.

@daniel If Magnus wins, Nodirbek loses, and Anish doesn't win, then Magnus gets a tie break.

predicted NO

@BoltonBailey Nope, if they tie at the main score, the Sonneborn–Berger score breaks the tie. This makes it impossible for both So and Carlsen to win, because they won against weaker opponents than Giri and Nodirbek. It doesn't matter what happens in the other matches.

Giri and Nodi can both still win, however.

predicted NO

@NamesAreHard Nope, the SB score breaks ties.

sold Ṁ48 of NO

@daniel While the standing display the S-B score, I don't see it mentioned in the tiebreak rules for the Masters section.

predicted NO

@BoltonBailey Slight correction: It is mentioned, but only in that it determines the pairings in the case of a four-player tiebreak. The rules do say:

If the top two or more players score the same number of points in the Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2022, a tiebreak to determine the tournament winner will be played.

predicted NO

Why is this so high?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@firstuserhere ah okay, found it. Wasn't aware of yesterday's results

predicted NO

@firstuserhere a full point! Nice

bought Ṁ100 of NO

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