Will resolve to YES if at any point in 2023, Elon Musk comes back to #1 spot at Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List.
Since December '22, Bernard Arnault took over 'the richest billionaire' spot from Elon Musk.
Current toplist:
@Mirek fwiw, I oppose resolving this. I agree that @itsTomekK should resolve it Yes. But the rules are pretty clear with respect to resolving markets that are still open
@MarcusAbramovitch sorry for this, I am still being silly trying to be funny. I hope tom can appreciate. 🤣
@Mirek This is afaik totally pointless, and annoying to everyone subscribed to the market. In the least, you could decrease your interval to once every three days.
@itsTomekK Please, good sir. I know it is evening in Poland but please resolve this. I know you probably have work, friends, family, but you mustn't neglect your responsibilities to the Manifold community. 🤣
@BoltonBailey yeah that is Bloomberg's ranking, but I wonder how to tell if Forbes is updating every 5 minutes how to know if he didn't pop up to 1st and back down again without anyone noticing.
@na_pewno indeed, looks like Bloomberg uses very different methodology, perhaps wrt valuing privately held companies
@AlQuinn I’m sure we can rely on predictors with a big stake in YES to keep an eye on that page and let us know if he pops up to first…