What month will the Supreme Court rule on birthright citizenship?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.6kDec 31
4%
April 2026
6%
May 2026
49%
June 2026
23%
July 2026
4%
August 2026
4%
September 2026
4%
October 2026
4%
November 2026 or later
1.4%
This market will resolve to whatever month SCOTUS releases their decision in Trump v Barbara, regarding the compliance of Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship with the 14th amendment. If there is more than one decision release (e.g. a revision is published subsequently) it will resolve to the first date on which a decision in the case is published on the SCOTUS website: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/slipopinion/25.
If the decision is released in November 2026 or later, that option will resolve YES. The “other” option will not resolve yes (sorry about that, it was automatically added).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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