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MANIFOLD
Will OpenAI change the percentage of compute (currently 20%) dedicated to Superalignment by the end of 2024?
40
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k
resolved Jun 14
100%88%
Decrease (<20%)
1.6%
Increase (>20%)
10%
No Change (20%)

The Superalignment announcement states that 20% of OpenAI's available compute will be dedicated to the taskforce: https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignment

This market will track whether that percentage changes in 2024.

IMPORTANT: this market will resolve as soon as a change is announced, regardless of whether it changes again before the end of 2024. For example, if an increase is announced, followed by a decrease, the market will resolve to "Increase". If no change is announced by the end of 2024, the market will resolve to "No Change".

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@GraceKind The Superalignment team has reportedly been disbanded. Presumably 0% is a decrease? They didn't literally call it that because nobody would call 20->0 a decrease rather than an end

Yes, resolved as decreased.