
Will OpenAI change the percentage of compute (currently 20%) dedicated to Superalignment by the end of 2024?
40
Ṁ1kṀ2.8kresolved Jun 14
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100%88%
Decrease (<20%)
1.6%
Increase (>20%)
10%
No Change (20%)
The Superalignment announcement states that 20% of OpenAI's available compute will be dedicated to the taskforce: https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignment
This market will track whether that percentage changes in 2024.
IMPORTANT: this market will resolve as soon as a change is announced, regardless of whether it changes again before the end of 2024. For example, if an increase is announced, followed by a decrease, the market will resolve to "Increase". If no change is announced by the end of 2024, the market will resolve to "No Change".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@GraceKind The Superalignment team has reportedly been disbanded. Presumably 0% is a decrease? They didn't literally call it that because nobody would call 20->0 a decrease rather than an end
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