Will Tesla (TSLA) stock end the year at or above $700/share?
45
149
496
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to 'YES' if shares of Tesla stock (TSLA) are trading with a price equal to or greater than $700 / per share at 4:00 PM EST (the close of regular market trading hours) on December 30, 2022 (a Friday and the final day of trading for 2022.) Betting closes the day before on December 29, 2022.
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bought Ṁ10 of NO

Options are implying a <1% chance this closes above $350, forget about $700. A reverse stock split is theoretically possible, but seems incredibly unlikely (<0.5%)

How will the market resolve in the face of the upcoming 3-for-1 stock split?

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001318605/000156459022028207/tsla-ex991_6.htm

predicted NO

@Michael 1 share is 1 share

@kazoo so you're saying TSLA has to go up 136% to hit $700 now? ought to just slam the no button at that point..

predicted NO

@DavidWang I mean come on, you need to work with me in the spirit of the law of the question. You knew the stock split was coming , so it's an easy bet of no if you're so adamant about this question being wrong. I can't go back and start saying only if 3 shares are now totaling >$700, it just doesn't work. I'm sorry, just chalk it up to failure on my part.

bought Ṁ250 of NO

@kazoo I think he was just asking for clarification not saying question was wrong. The answer is still hard for me to parse.

If tsla stays at current price, will you resolve yes or no?

@GeorgeVii I am trying my best, please be kind.