
Will $TSLA close at $5800 per share or more by December 31 2031?
Will $TSLA close at $5800 per share or more by December 31 2031?
14
170Ṁ33842031
15%
chance
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I will resolve the market YES as soon as $TSLA closes at $5800.00 per share or more. Once the market closes on December 31 2031, assuming it has never closed at $5800.00 per share or more, I will resolve the market NO.
For reference, assuming no further stock sales, that would imply a valuation of $18.2 trillion dollars.
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Is the number 5800 from ark invest? If it is, that is the pre split bull case price target, so the post split number is 1933
https://ark-invest.com/articles/analyst-research/arks-tesla-model/
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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