Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
33
323
Ṁ6.3KṀ3.6K
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
94%
Any Microsoft employee
93%
Any Amazon employee
92%
Any OpenAI employee
91%
Any Meta employee
83%
Anyone who made a Manifold account after finding out about the site from Bet on Love
81%
Anyone who placed a bet in 2022, but not in 2023
78%
Any Apple employee
68%
Any Dell employee
55%
Destiny
55%
Any Goldman Sachs employee
53%
Any Netflix employee
52%
Any Lenovo employee
51%
Anyone who spent at least 24 hours straight under 10% in this market (including "any"/"anyone" answers)
50%
Grimes
49%
Anyone 90 years old or older
49%
Any Current State Representative
48%
Anyone with 25,000 or more followers on LinkedIn
45%
Emmett Shear
45%
Lex Fridman
39%
Julia Galef
Will require some sort of proof/confirmation that it is the real user if their account is not marked as Verified.
Creating a limit order counts as making a bet.
The employee questions are for current employees only. Any employee can provide me proof privately for these questions. Please do not dox other users' employment.
If they placed a bet on Manifold during 2024 but before this market's creation, will still resolve YES when proven.
Ends at midnight EST on 31 December 2024.
Moderators are welcome to resolve any of these if I'm offline. No need to ping me.
Feel free to suggest more answers in the comments and I might add them!
Get Ṁ200 play money
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