Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
50
3.6kṀ12kresolved Feb 17
Resolved
YESAny Google employee
Resolved
YESShayne Coplan
Resolved
YESEmmett Shear
Resolved
YESAny employee (CEO not included) of Kalshi
Resolved
YESAnyone with 25,000 or more followers on LinkedIn
Resolved
YESAny Microsoft employee
Resolved
YESAny Anthropic employee
Resolved
YESAny Samsung employee
Resolved
NOLex Fridman
Resolved
NONate Silver
Resolved
NOGrimes
Resolved
NOElon Musk
Resolved
NODestiny
Resolved
NOBeff Jezos
Resolved
NOSam Altman
Resolved
NOSpencer Greenberg
Resolved
NOIlya Sutskever
Resolved
NOJulia Galef
Resolved
NOAny Current US Senator
Resolved
NOAny Current US Representative
Will require some sort of proof/confirmation that it is the real user if their account is not marked as Verified.
Creating a limit order counts as making a bet.
The employee questions are for current employees only. Any employee can provide me proof privately for these questions. Please do not dox other users' employment.
If they placed a bet on Manifold during 2024 but before this market's creation, will still resolve YES when proven.
Ends at midnight EST on 31 December 2024.
Moderators are welcome to resolve any of these if I'm offline. No need to ping me.
Feel free to suggest more answers in the comments and I might add them!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ596 | |
| 2 | Ṁ364 | |
| 3 | Ṁ136 | |
| 4 | Ṁ120 | |
| 5 | Ṁ85 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the government come after Manifold for gambling on the site before 2026?
5% chance
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
21% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2026?
48% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?
20% chance