
Will there be another train derailment in New York before the end of 2023?
11
230Ṁ1166resolved Nov 30
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ287 | |
2 | Ṁ25 | |
3 | Ṁ17 | |
4 | Ṁ3 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=80% at the end of May 2025? (overall 12-month average)
56% chance
Will there be another major bridge collapse in the US by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will a train derailment in the US cause evacuation of a municipality of more than 1000 people before 2025?
7% chance
Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=85% at the end of 2025? (overall 12-month average)
31% chance
Will NYC Subway ridership be 70% of pre-pandemic levels or higher at the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?
20% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
7% chance
Will NYC have congestion pricing at the end of 2025?
95% chance
Will the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway collapse before 2030?
24% chance
Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?
43% chance
Sort by:
There was one the day after market creation: https://www.timesunion.com/news/article/freight-train-derails-montgomery-county-18278942.php
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=80% at the end of May 2025? (overall 12-month average)
56% chance
Will there be another major bridge collapse in the US by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will a train derailment in the US cause evacuation of a municipality of more than 1000 people before 2025?
7% chance
Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=85% at the end of 2025? (overall 12-month average)
31% chance
Will NYC Subway ridership be 70% of pre-pandemic levels or higher at the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?
20% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
7% chance
Will NYC have congestion pricing at the end of 2025?
95% chance
Will the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway collapse before 2030?
24% chance
Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?
43% chance