Will a referendum on leaving the EU be announced before the next House (Tweede Kamer) elections in the Netherlands?
8
90Ṁ10952027
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Article arguing far right parties don't want to leave the EU
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/11/28/geert-wilders-netherlands-europe-eu/
Some relevant discussion here: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/major-state-exits-eu-before-2027/
People are also trading
Related questions
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
Which political parties will form the next coalition government in the Netherlands after the 2025 general elections?
Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?
If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
12% chance
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
Who will be next Speaker of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer)?
Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?
2% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
21% chance
Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?
7% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
15% chance