Will a referendum on leaving the EU be announced before the next House (Tweede Kamer) elections in the Netherlands?
8
90Ṁ10952027
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Article arguing far right parties don't want to leave the EU
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/11/28/geert-wilders-netherlands-europe-eu/
Some relevant discussion here: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/major-state-exits-eu-before-2027/
People are also trading
Related questions
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.
Which party wins the most seats in the Netherlands (Dutch) 2025 election
If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
12% chance
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?
2% chance
Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?
How long will the next Dutch cabinet formation take?
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
21% chance
Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?
7% chance