Funny thing - when this appeared in my feed, I took it as an open answer submission question where x is a variable and we could propose different things Harris might ban. I didn't realize until I came here that x=X!

Related market: /SG/the-political-fate-of-elon

Can we clarify some bounds here?

1. What if she expresses an interest in doing so, but takes no concrete steps (bill/exec order/etc) towards it?

2. What if she issues an executive order to, for example, force X to take down specific content (hate speech, misinfo, etc)?

   1. If Musk (Yaccarino?) refuses this, then she threatens to take down X as a result of his refusal?

3. If a congressperson introduces a bill/expresses interest and Harris makes no comment?

   1. If she expresses vague general support?

   2. If she explicitly endorses the effort?

@Weepinbell

1. She has to take concrete steps. Makes the resolution easier for me and I think is reasonable, still a lot more lenient than "first move" in the tweet.

2. I think I would only count this if it actually results in x being de facto banned.

3. If someone introduces a bill and she unambiguously supports it, I think that should count. If the bill passes and she doesn't veto it, it counts even if she doesn't talk about it at all.

Does that seem reasonable?

@jskf on point 2, what happens if an executive order is issued within her first 3 months, but non-compliance from X results in a ban later than her first 3 months?

@bence I could imagine situations where I would probably want to count that, but I also want to avoid delaying resolution. If you have a suggestion for specific criteria I'll consider it.