
The Political Fate of Elon
41
35kṀ30k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
17%
Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win
4%
Convicted of felony if Reps win
5%
X shut down/sold if Reps win
What will be the personal or financial repercussions of the 2024 Presidential Election to Elon Musk in 2025?
The above are a set of conditional markets on various actions that happen to either Elon Musk personally or any of his affiliated companies (SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, etc.) in 2025 as a result of which party wins the presidency in the upcoming election.
Suggest more ideas in the comments!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@MattP Any fines from any government. Any settlements from any lawsuit (including class action lawsuits).
Related questions
Related questions
Is Elon a Nazi sympathizer?
15% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Will Elon Musk try to use an AI model to sway people towards a political ideology before 2031?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
8% chance
When will Trump turn on Elon?
Will Elon be subpoenaed or indicted for foreign ties, money laundering, or other election interference by end of 2025?
27% chance
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
20% chance
Will there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
26% chance
A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050
35% chance
Will Elon Musk ever be elected President?
3% chance