The Political Fate of Elon

Ṁ35kṀ48k

resolved Jan 16

Resolved

N/A

X shut down/sold if Dems win

Resolved

N/A

Convicted of felony if Dems win

Resolved

N/A

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Dems win

Resolved

X shut down/sold if Reps win

Resolved

Convicted of felony if Reps win

Resolved

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win

What will be the personal or financial repercussions of the 2024 Presidential Election to Elon Musk in 2025?

The above are a set of conditional markets on various actions that happen to either Elon Musk personally or any of his affiliated companies (SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, etc.) in 2025 as a result of which party wins the presidency in the upcoming election.

Suggest more ideas in the comments!

Market context

US Politics

2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,535
2		Ṁ375
3		Ṁ180
4		Ṁ175
5		Ṁ123

People are also trading

Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?

12% chance

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

21% chance

Elon elected to public office as America Party member?

3% chance

Will Elon Musk ever be elected President?

2% chance

A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050

28% chance

Will ElonGate be used for a political scandal before 2030?

29% chance

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

77% chance

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

20% chance

Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the United States at the end of Trump's current term in office?

95% chance

Will Elon Musk run for public office in the US before 2034

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

I have no idea why the feds would bother to fine Elon. It's more likely to be state AGs.

add "Gets deported” 💀

He is a US citizen, so he can't legally be deported. I suppose they could change the laws, but that seems quite unlikely.

Can you elaborate on the answers about fines? Are these fines specifically related to the election (e.g FEC or similar)? Are they any fines levied by the US government for any reason (e.g parking tickets)? Fines levied by any governmental entity whatsoever (e.g the Brazil stuff)?