Will life expectancy in any country pass 90 before 2040?
Basic
16
425
2040
61%
chance

Currently the highest life expectancy country is Japan, at 84.6 years https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

UN, World Population Prospects (2024) update for 2023: Monaco back above its prepandemic level (86y): https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&hideControls=true&Metric=Life+expectancy&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=At+birth&Projection+Scenario=None

However, Monaco's LE has only grown by 2.5 years over the past 16 years. South Korea, at 84, increased its LE by 4 years over the same period. So, if we assume the same trends over the next 16 years, Monaco and South Korea might reach 89 by 2040.

@jonsimon Does Monaco count?

linear extrapolation of japan falls far short

Related market: