Bethesda say they are going to release Starfield on Xbox & PC in the first half of 2023, as per https://help.bethesda.net/#en/answer/53334
Will resolve to YES if the game is available for members of the public to purchase, download and play on either Xbox or PC (doesn't have to be both), before July 1st 2023. Will resolve to NO if the game is only available as part of a "public beta" or similar.
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Starfield announced for September, so I bought a bunch of NO, almost everything I had. Technically it is still viable that they launch before July but the likelihood is obviously close to 0. Should it resolve now or wait for the 0.00001% chance they move the date up by over two months?
@vmjusto I think it shouldn't resolve because anything could happen, though I think you investing everything is an equally bad idea
@DesTiny I am ok with losing liquidity, if that is what you are concerned with. But it would be the most unprecedented thing for a Triple-A title to launch two and a half months earlier than the data they announced only six months in advance. It is virtually impossible.