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Will Jimmy Carter still be alive by the end of May?
johnleoks avatar
johnleoks
93
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES
Presidential Politics
Jimmy Carter
Death markets

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MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitchsold Ṁ8 of NO

Just want to say, this question makes no sense, what does it mean to be alive "by the end of some time"?

johnleoks avatar
johnleokspredicted YES at 98.2%

@MarcusAbramovitch Fascinating.

f avatar
RealLiesbought Ṁ412 of YES

Betting hard on this because at this point theres an arbitrage opportunity with June... not that I'm hedging :P If Jimmy Carter dies tommorow I will shit myself

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO at 98.0%

https://manifold.markets/8/will-jimmy-carter-outlive-his-wife

Will Jimmy Carter outlive his wife?
Will Jimmy Carter outlive his wife?
50% chance. resolves as expected
johnleoks avatar
johnleokspredicted YES at 91%

.

johnleoks avatar
johnleokspredicted YES at 73%
Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ10 of NO
johnleoks avatar
johnleoks

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