Trump is asking his supporters to protest his imminent arrest. Will there be large scale protests in 3 or more states?
54
1.1kṀ59k
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO
  1. We will go by mainstream media sources such as CNN, Fox, MSNBC, NPR, Washington Post etc on how many protests there are around the country.

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i more or less created this exact market

predictedNO

@camelwrangler No. I don't think so. I think your market condition depends on if trump is arrested or not.

This market condition here depends on if there are riots in three or more states or not.

predictedYES

@camelwrangler it happens to all of us unfortunately, there's no way to consolidate the markets or redirect people once duplicates are made.

predictedNO

@camelwrangler I see that. but in yours, you have two conditions that need to be met. Trump arrested: yes or no. If yes, then second condition: are there riots in three or more states.

In this market, the only condition that needs to be met is : are there riots in three or more states. the sentence "Trump is asking his supporters to protest his imminent arrest." Is just a description of the situation. It's not a condition that needs to be met.

predictedNO

@higherLEVELING *only condition here is if there are riots in three or more states

@Gen id happily consolidate our respective markets, pinging @DavidChee feature request

@higherLEVELING fair. still believe we shld at lear be allowed the opportunity to consolidate.

predictedYES

@camelwrangler Just comment the market embed and hope people trade on it. Typically people will trade both as there is arb opportunity and it distributes the maker risk in case they disappear or resolve against expectations

predictedNO

@camelwrangler You can try but for the people here who votes yes, it would put them at a disadvantage to have the extra condition. If anything, I think that people wouldn't mind the arbitrage opportunity.

Trump's tweets incite
His base to take flight
But will they really fight?
Or stay home and sleep tight?

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