Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on a poll vote by Manifold users. The question asks for community opinion on whether Manifold Markets should allow bots to participate in prediction markets. Resolution will be determined by which option receives the majority of votes in the poll.

Background

Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on the outcomes of events. Bots could potentially participate in markets through automated trading strategies, which raises questions about market integrity, fairness, and platform design. The decision to allow or disallow bots involves tradeoffs between market efficiency, preventing manipulation, and maintaining a level playing field for human traders.

Considerations

Bot participation in prediction markets presents several technical and policy challenges: bots could exploit information asymmetries, engage in wash trading or market manipulation, or create unfair advantages for sophisticated traders with automated systems. Conversely, bots could improve market liquidity and price discovery. The platform's stance on this issue will shape its competitive positioning relative to other prediction market platforms and influence what types of traders and use cases it attracts.

This description was generated by AI.