Will the S&P 500 pass 1,000,000 by EOY 2026?
7
100Ṁ24932026
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the S&P 500 Pass 100,000 by EOY 2026?
3% chance
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
52% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
11% chance
Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?
38% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
63% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
69% chance
Conditional on AGI, will the S&P500 close above 1 million by 2032?
14% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance
Sort by:
boughtṀ50NO
@Bayesian nah this is based on extrapolation... aka inductive reasoning... so this not happening would be a black swan event... that would be the real thing....
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 Pass 100,000 by EOY 2026?
3% chance
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
52% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
11% chance
Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?
38% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
63% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
69% chance
Conditional on AGI, will the S&P500 close above 1 million by 2032?
14% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance