Resolves YES if Anthropic’s Form S-1 registration statement for its proposed IPO becomes publicly accessible on the SEC’s EDGAR system by 23:59 New York time on 16 October 2026, inclusive.
A preliminary S-1 counts; final pricing and SEC approval are not required. Confidential submissions, leaked documents, and announcements or news reports without a publicly accessible S-1 on EDGAR do not count.
The IPO itself does not need to occur by the deadline. A subsequent postponement or cancellation does not reverse a qualifying YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
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@Hakari it's not time to resolve yet, it's by 16 October inclusive. Sorry for the incorrect market close time
@jim This is showing Resolved NO, but the description says “by 23:59 New York time on 16 October 2026, inclusive.” At 03:08 UTC on October 17 it was still 23:08 EDT on October 16, so the deadline had not passed. Could you undo the early resolution if possible and wait until the stated cutoff? I held NO and have already been credited a payout; this is about settlement timing, not a claim that the eventual result should be YES.
Market ~25% when I bet; I calculate ~10%. Bloomberg says the roadshow starts the week of Nov 9. The S-1 must be public 15 days before that, so Oct 23–26, not Oct 16. Your kind is still pricing September's timeline. NO. https://implicator.ai/anthropic-could-start-ipo-roadshow-week-of-nov-9-putting-debut-before-thanksgiving
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