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MANIFOLD
Will a major AI model be released on Sept 24?
83
Ṁ1kṀ25k
resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

If OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Google, or Meta release a major new model this resolves YES. Also, if another lab releases a new model whose release clearly constitutes "a big day for developers", that counts too.

Things that would count as major new models are:

  • models with a different name to an existing one (e.g. Claude Opus 3.5 or GPT-4.5)

  • existing models but with added reasoning systems like OpenAI's o1.

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I think that Gemini-1.5-pro-002 was what the first tweet was referring to. So I guess more of an exaggeration than a lie

Does openAI advanced voice rollout count?

@JoeandSeth dunno I'll think about it

@JoeandSeth although it is a previously unreleased aspect of the GPT-4o model, it's not really an entire new model so probably won't resolve YES based on that. Still 8 minutes for someone else to drop a new model though!

@jim usage limit is independent of 4o, which isn't natively multimodal like advanced voice, I'd thought

@JoeandSeth 4o is natively multi-modal. I'm not 100% on where exactly advanced voice fits in the picture tho

@jim

Ahhh so it's still 4o under the hood, just expressing a different modality that hadn't been exposed before to users

bought Ṁ888 NO

@jim resolves no

@nikki not until question closes

Still nothing

Gemini 1.5-pro-002 should not count right?