When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?
8
175Ṁ2522027
March 10, 2028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
2025
15%
2026
30%
2027
21%
2028
21%
2029
10%
2030
A game like this that sees decent popularity (e.g. becomes a best seller, or gets 10k concurrent players on Steam, or makes 50 million in sales)
https://old.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1kuh1mt/are_we_entering_the_generative_gaming_era/
resolves to the date it meets jim's subjective criteria of success (rather than e.g. the date it was first released)
playable example of a game that uses vidgen-type tech instead of a traditional engine:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
29% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027?
5% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
18% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2029?
17% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?
78% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?
64% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
31% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045?
83% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?
66% chance
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
75% chance