Resolves according to the following website:
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-there-be-100-or-more-human-cas-dItlZpthlz# and similar markets.
Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the data source does not have December 31, 2025 data available at market close:
The creator will record the available data and re-open the market
The market will remain open until new data is available
The final resolution will be interpolated for December 31, 2025
1,000People are also trading
As mentioned last week, I will wait for https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1
to update before I resolve the lowest options, but I have now resolved the higher ones.
At market close, I will check whether the data on https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1 is from December 31. If not, I will record it and re-open the market until there is new data and will interpolate the value for December 31.
@NicoMach Created it before there were the new numeric markets. Making a new numeric market might make more sense.