Resolves according to the following website:
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-there-be-100-or-more-human-cas-dItlZpthlz# and similar markets.
Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the data source does not have December 31, 2025 data available at market close:
The creator will record the available data and re-open the market
The market will remain open until new data is available
The final resolution will be interpolated for December 31, 2025
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4 | |
| 3 | Ṁ2 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
As mentioned last week, I will wait for https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1
to update before I resolve the lowest options, but I have now resolved the higher ones.
At market close, I will check whether the data on https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1 is from December 31. If not, I will record it and re-open the market until there is new data and will interpolate the value for December 31.
@NicoMach Created it before there were the new numeric markets. Making a new numeric market might make more sense.