![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fjacksonpolack%2F5077kl7yiw.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
What odds will Nate Silver's model give Harris against Trump a week after those odds are released?
Basic
79
Ṁ41kresolved Aug 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
50% - 60%
0.0%
<= 20%
0.0%
20% - 30%
0.2%
30% - 40%
0.6%
40% - 50%
0.1%
> 60%
Ties round down, so 30% resolves to 20% - 30%
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,598 | |
2 | Ṁ1,594 | |
3 | Ṁ790 | |
4 | Ṁ677 | |
5 | Ṁ631 |
Sort by:
It looks like Harris is safely in the 50% to 60% zone a week after the first predictions!
Will Trump manage to overtake her again? If so, when? /SimonGrayson/when-will-trump-overtake-harris-in
Related questions
Related questions
Nate Silver's model to favour Harris 2 weeks from now?
When will Harris overtake Trump in Nate Silver's Presidential forecast?
How will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris election odds change 1 day after the September 10 debate?
Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's election forecast on September 30th?
55% chance
Will Harris's chance of winning one day before the election be between 45% and 55% on electionbettingodds.com?
54% chance
Will Nate Silver’s model correctly predict the election?
64% chance
When will Trump overtake Harris in 538's Presidential forecast?
If Trump Debates Harris, what will be the change in his Manifold win % after one week?
Who will win (in prediction market gains) in the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate?
How big would be the difference between 538's and Nate Silver's forecast as of Nov 1st, 2024?