What odds will Nate Silver's model give Harris against Trump a week after those odds are released?
Basic
79
41k
resolved Aug 6
100%99.0%
50% - 60%
0.0%
<= 20%
0.0%
20% - 30%
0.2%
30% - 40%
0.6%
40% - 50%
0.1%
> 60%

Ties round down, so 30% resolves to 20% - 30%

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bought Ṁ1,000 50% - 60% YES

It looks like Harris is safely in the 50% to 60% zone a week after the first predictions!

Will Trump manage to overtake her again? If so, when? /SimonGrayson/when-will-trump-overtake-harris-in

bought Ṁ250 50% - 60% YES

Broke 50% on today's post.