Resolves YES if Twitter's monetizable Daily Active Users (mDAU) grows at a higher percentage rate in 2023 than in 2022. Otherwise NO.
More formally: if (DAU at end of 2023 / DAU at end of 2022) > (DAU at end of 2022 / DAU at end of 2021).
In the event that Twitter stops reporting mDAU but does report some sufficiently similar metric, such as DAU, will resolve based on that if it still preserves the overall spirit of the question, which is measuring the growth rate of active users. If this is not possible, resolves N/A.
See https://www.statista.com/statistics/970920/monetizable-daily-active-twitter-users-worldwide/ for past data. Comparing growth from Q4 of one year to the next, mDAU grew at 13% in 2021 and 26% in 2020.
Related:
Post of related markets:
https://manifold.markets/post/evaluating-twitter-after-a-year-of
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