Will the US issue perpetual bonds in 2023?
7
150Ṁ801
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

One workaround the US government could take to circumvent the debt ceiling is to issue perpetual bonds (aka consols) - bonds that have no guarantee to repay the principal at a fixed date, instead they pay interest until whatever time the government chooses to repay them.

Because there is no obligation to repay the principal, such bonds do not count against the debt ceiling.

For background, see https://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2021/09/debt-ceiling-modest-proposal.html or the last section of https://www.vox.com/22711346/trillion-dollar-coin-mintthecoin-debt-ceiling-beowulf.

Resolves YES if the US issues perpetual bonds in 2023, otherwise NO.

For the purposes of this market, "bond" will include any debt instrument that is functionally a bond; what the Treasury names it doesn't matter - e.g. T-bills, T-notes, or T-bonds all count as bonds.

Related:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ51
2Ṁ0
3Ṁ0
4Ṁ0
Sort by:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules