Will the EU enact a 2035 ban on internal combustion engine cars in 2023?
16
290Ṁ2209
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Context: https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/24/cars/eu-combustion-engine-debate-climate-intl/index.html

When EU lawmakers voted to ban the sale of new combustion engine cars in the bloc by 2035, it was a landmark victory for climate. In February, the European Parliament approved the law. All that was needed was a rubber stamp from the bloc’s political leaders.

Then Germany changed its mind.

In a reversal that stunned many EU insiders, the German government decided to push for a loophole that would allow the sale of combustion engine cars beyond the 2035 deadline — as long as they run on synthetic fuels.

Resolves YES if in 2023, the EU enacts law to ban the sale of new combusion engine cars by 2035 (with no exception for synthetic fuels). Resolves NO if they enact a law with an exception for synthetic fuels, or if no such law is enacted in 2023.

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predictedNO

@jack Official EU parliament site: (emphasis added) https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/economy/20221019STO44572/eu-ban-on-sale-of-new-petrol-and-diesel-cars-from-2035-explained

What type of zero CO2 emission cars will most people be driving?

The trend is mostly towards battery-electric vehicles, because the total cost of ownership is lower than the alternatives. For example, the production of hydrogen and e-fuels - made from electricity and hydrogen and turned into synthetic petrol - is more expensive as it requires a lot of electricity. However, batteries are heavy, which means some means of transport cannot easily be battery-powered - therefore hydrogen or e-fuels can be a good solution for ships, planes or heavy-duty vehicles.

Resolves NO. There is a synthetic fuel exception

predictedNO

Heads up, since nobody has traded yet, I just edited the deadline for the question to end of 2023 based on a quick look at the EU Council's schedule of meetings.

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