Resolves YES if Sergey Surovikin is demoted from his current rank of General of the Army, is dismissed from the Russian military, or dies, before October 1, 2023 (Moscow time). Otherwise NO.

Update: there's recent news that Surovikin was removed as Commander in Chief of the Aerospace Forces. The above criteria are quite clear that being relieved of duties or having a change of post is not a qualifying criteria by itself, it must also comes with "demoted from his current rank of General of the Army" or "dismissed from the Russian military" to resolve YES. (To understand why the criteria are this way, consider what would have happened if he had ceased to be Commander in Chief of the Aerospace Forces because he was promoted to a different position, for example.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergey_Surovikin

In late June 2023, he was arrested, according to unconfirmed reports following alleged involvement with the Wagner Group rebellion,[9] and according to CNN was revealed to be a Wagner Group member.[10] Surovikin's daughter, in an alleged interview to a Russian Telegram channel, claimed to be in contact with her father and insisted that he had not been detained.[11]

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/29/europe/russia-surovikin-prigozhin-questions-intl/index.html

Surovikin has been the subject of intense speculation over his role in the mutiny after the New York Times reported on Wednesday that the general “had advance knowledge of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s plans to rebel against Russia’s military leadership.” The paper cited US officials who it said were briefed on US intelligence.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/30/europe/russian-general-sergey-surovikin-wagner-vip-intl-hnk/index.html

Documents shared exclusively with CNN suggest that a top Russian military commander, Gen. Sergey Surovikin, was a secret VIP member of Wagner, the private military company that staged a brief rebellion exposing disunity among senior Russian military officials.

After the short-lived insurrection, questions swirl over top Russian commander and Prigozhin | CNN

One is known as “General Armageddon,” the other as “Putin’s chef.” Both have a checkered past and a reputation for brutality. One launched the insurrection, the other reportedly knew about it in advance. And right now, both are nowhere to be found.