Will Prigozhin (leader of Wagner group) be arrested by July 15?

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resolved Jul 17

Resolved

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Resolves YES if Yevgeny Prigozhin is arrested by July 15 2023 (11:59 ET), otherwise NO. Resolves based on consensus of reliable media reporting.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66005256

The head of Russia's Wagner mercenary group is being investigated for inciting mutiny after accusing the Russian military of a launching a deadly missile strike on his troops.

Russia accuses Wagner chief of urging ‘armed mutiny’

Moscow opens an investigation into Yevgeny Prigozhin, in an astonishing escalation of infighting.

Also see related questions with different deadlines to the right.

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

Yevgeney Prigozhin

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predictedNO

@jack Resolve?

If Prigozhin gets killed, will this resolve NO?

predictedYES

@harfe if he gets captured and then killed, this should be resolved YES, in my opinion.

predictedNO

@harfe if he is arrested first, yes. If he's killed first without being arrested, no. I made other questions on arrest or death.

Polymarket | Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?

Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if founder of Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin is arrested by July 15, 2023 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution s…

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