Resolves YES if Yevgeny Prigozhin is arrested by July 15 2023 (11:59 ET), otherwise NO. Resolves based on consensus of reliable media reporting.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66005256

The head of Russia's Wagner mercenary group is being investigated for inciting mutiny after accusing the Russian military of a launching a deadly missile strike on his troops.

Russia accuses Wagner chief of urging ‘armed mutiny’

Moscow opens an investigation into Yevgeny Prigozhin, in an astonishing escalation of infighting.

Also see related questions with different deadlines to the right.