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Will George Santos (R-NY) resign from Congress during his first term?
jack avatar
Jack
66
closes 2025
59%
chance

Resolves to YES if George Santos resigns from the US House of Representatives during the 118th Congress (Jan 2023 - Jan 2025). Otherwise NO. If Santos is expelled from Congress, dies, or leaves Congress for any reason other than resignation, immediately resolves NO.

Context: Santos, who was elected to Congress in November 2022, was discovered to have fabricated his resume and admitted to it. In addition, he is now facing a number of investigations for possible campaign finance fraud.

Related:

George Santos
118th Congress
US Politics
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KevinBurke avatar
Kevin BurkeBotbought Ṁ100 of NO

Free money for anyone holding a YES position - sell it then buy the equivalent position in this market, for 10% better odds - https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-george-santos-resign-from-cong

Will George Santos resign from congress by the end of the term?
Will George Santos resign from congress by the end of the term?
28% chance.
UnSub avatar
Un Subbought Ṁ0 of NO

https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/george-santos-court-appearance/?id=99214419

JoshuaB avatar
Joshuais predicting NO at 53%

Market likely updating on https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/05/09/politics/george-santos-charged-justice-department/index.html

Jason avatar
Jasonis predicting YES at 53%

@JoshuaB Yep. Early enough to predict plea or conviction by summer 2024 --> enough liability for McCarthy to show him the door

toms avatar
Tоmbought Ṁ26 of NO

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/17/nyregion/george-santos-running-re-election.html

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