Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg have a physical fight in 2023?

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resolved Jan 1

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Resolves YES if they have a "cage match" or any other unarmed martial arts match in 2023, according to reliable media reporting. Otherwise NO.

https://www.politico.eu/article/elon-musk-wants-cage-fight-with-mark-zuckerberg-yes-really/

Elon Musk wants cage fight with Mark Zuckerberg (yes, really)

Europe’s Thierry ‘The Enforcer’ Breton could officiate.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Elon musk

#Silicon Scuffle

#Musk-Zuck MMA Fight

#New Year's Resolutions 2024

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predicted NO

There’s no way this should be above 1% now that Zuckerberg has had knee surgery. No way it can happen in the next two months.

2 traders bought Ṁ600 NO

predicted NO

@Dustin Lack of mana is the problem.

@Dustin Is there a reason you sold your shares?

predicted NO

@DylanSlagh I found more profitable places to spend the mana

Mark Zuckerberg on Instagram: "Tore my ACL sparring and just got out of surgery to replace it. Grateful for the doctors and team taking care of me. I was training for a competitive MMA fight early next year, but now that's delayed a bit. Still looking forward to doing it after I recover. Thanks to everyone for the love and support."

239K likes, 12K comments - zuck on November 3, 2023: "Tore my ACL sparring and just got out of surgery to replace it. Grateful for the doctors and team..."

https://youtube.com/shorts/GP4IKzRqgy4?si=-0wMzhaOA_jmoobG

Still possible https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1717560677630464510

predicted YES

@roma He is desperate for the constant attention, such twit behavior

predicted NO

What qualifies as a "cage match"? Does a light sparring round count (eg: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-YVvjMn7Qk)? Or must they be fighting with the intention of submitting/knocking out each other?

My feeling is that it should be at least at this(https://www.youtube.com/shorts/_CrmkcmfY1c) intensity to count as a fight.

Amateur kickboxing light sparring

Starting a new journey with Muay Thai. My movement feels better but there's still a lot of things I need to work on, plan on getting better every video 🙏 fi...

predicted NO

Tbh I don't really know much about what different types of fights are out there and what should and shouldn't count. Open to input. If there's substantial disagreement I think it would be best to leave it up to a resolution council of trusted manifolders to decide what counts.

My thoughts at the moment - none of this is intended to be binding:

Both the videos you showed seem like they should count, even the "light sparring" one.
I think the fight should be some sort of unarmed martial arts and not like fencing.
It should probably be a coordinated fight, if they accidentally got into a bar fight that probably shouldn't count.
It should probably be a one-on-one fight?

predicted NO

FYI I updated the description to "unarmed martial arts match" - that seems like the simplest delineation to me.

predicted NO

@jack One question is whether it has to be a "match" with the intention of having a winner and a loser, or whether sparring like the above, which is basically practice/training, counts.

predicted NO

@DanielTilkin Good question. I think a sparring match ought to count. If they had a practice bout in zuck's octagon, for example, that would have counted.