Will Donald Trump be US President on September 12, 2022?
145
127Ṁ180k
resolved Sep 13
Resolved
NO

READ THIS: If you are reading this and betting, please bet an amount that is not M$10 (at least once), or post a comment. This is so I can tell you opened this page.

This is intended as an experiment in how many people are quick-betting from the homepage based on the title alone without looking at the market details. This is intended as a direct comparison with https://manifold.markets/DrP/will-donald-j-trump-be-the-presiden-0e059855d7f0 and https://manifold.markets/DrP/will-donald-j-trump-be-the-presiden - the latter has some discussion in the comments about people who may not have realized the nature of the market because they used the quick-bet from the home page.

This can also be an issue with markets where the title asks a substantially different question than the resolution criteria in the market description.

I will resolve the market accurately as per the title. Feel free to bet however you want, e.g. you can buy YES to subsidize the experiment or just for fun.

Aug 5, 8:07am: Removed N/A resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2,768
2Ṁ1,743
3Ṁ1,472
4Ṁ944
5Ṁ824
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy