
Will ChatGPT/Claude pick a debate winner?
Will ChatGPT/Claude pick a debate winner?
8
100Ṁ4435resolved Jun 29
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
NOClaude picks winner
Resolved
NOChatGPT picks winner
See https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-first-trump-vs-bid
If when given the exact prompt there, Claude/ChatGPT outputs a choice of winner, resolves YES, otherwise NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ542 | |
2 | Ṁ471 | |
3 | Ṁ326 | |
4 | Ṁ39 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |
Sort by:
sold Ṁ28 YES11mo
Both failed to pick a winner at first, and so it resolves NO.
But we were able to get them to pick winners with just slightly tweaked prompts.
See https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-first-trump-vs-bid
Oops I had the yes/no reversed in the description because I had decided to flip it to be less confusing, but apparently messed up. Sorry! So the title and the answer text matched each other but not the description. Please comment if you bet based on they pick the winner being yes, or no.