Will ChatGPT/Claude pick a debate winner?
8
100Ṁ4435resolved Jun 29
1D
1W
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Resolved
NOClaude picks winner
Resolved
NOChatGPT picks winner
See https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-first-trump-vs-bid
If when given the exact prompt there, Claude/ChatGPT outputs a choice of winner, resolves YES, otherwise NO
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Both failed to pick a winner at first, and so it resolves NO.
But we were able to get them to pick winners with just slightly tweaked prompts.
See https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-first-trump-vs-bid
Oops I had the yes/no reversed in the description because I had decided to flip it to be less confusing, but apparently messed up. Sorry! So the title and the answer text matched each other but not the description. Please comment if you bet based on they pick the winner being yes, or no.
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