Resolves YES if any country announces a commitment of at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine, before July 2023. Otherwise NO.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/19/politics/biden-g7-f-16-ukraine/index.html

President Joe Biden informed G7 leaders on Friday that the US will support a joint effort with allies and partners to train Ukrainian pilots on fourth generation aircraft, including F-16s, a senior administration official tells CNN.

See https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15003/f-16-fighter-jets-to-ukraine-by-2024/ for more info.

Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?

The aggregate of 107 Metaculus community forecasters was 90% on May 21, 2023.