Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before September 30, 2025, the United States delivers additional Patriot air defense systems to Ukraine. The delivery must be publicly confirmed by official U.S. government sources or reputable news outlets. If no such delivery occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

The Patriot system is a surface-to-air missile defense platform developed by Raytheon Technologies (RTX). It is designed to detect, track, and intercept incoming threats such as aircraft, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles. Ukraine has been seeking additional Patriot systems to bolster its air defense capabilities amid ongoing conflict with Russia. In June 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump expressed a willingness to consider supplying Ukraine with more Patriot missiles following a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy at a NATO summit. (reuters.com)

Considerations

While President Trump has indicated potential support for providing additional Patriot systems to Ukraine, no formal commitment or delivery schedule has been announced as of June 26, 2025. The complexity of manufacturing and logistics involved in producing and delivering these advanced systems may affect the timeline. Traders should monitor official U.S. government communications and reputable news sources for updates on any confirmed deliveries before the market's resolution date.