Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death?

Question

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

[image]Mugshot series:
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe 
@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-alexand

@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur

@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur-dc8ae3f820ac

@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur-0dbce33ef019

@/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur-d8a96a13189e

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (16 traders, as of Mar 5, 2026).

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