Who will first have cash prize markets on the presidential election, Kalshi or Manifold?
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Ṁ11kresolved Sep 20
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Manifold
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Kalshi
Kalshi just launched congressional control markets and Manifold is working on cash prize markets.
Resolves to the platform (Manifold or Kalshi) which first has markets with real money (USD) prizes on the winner of the next US presidential election.
(In case neither of them has it on the 2024 election, then it'll resolve to the first to have it on the 2028 election or later. This market does not have a deadline.)
The criteria for cash prizes is defined following https://manifold.markets/jack/will-manifold-launch-real-money-pri
Other platforms do not matter for this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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In all the talk of new cash prizes, people link back to that May post. But if it's not prize points, where is the information coming from?
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