Resolves on a scale of 0% to 100% where 0% is "no new ideas" and 100% is "essentially proved the theorem as stated". Resolves when the mathematical community has formed a consensus or at the end of 2023, whichever is earlier. Resolution will be based on a subjective judgement of the mathematical community's assessment of the paper - think of this as a sort of poll, but with subjective weighting of people's opinions, with a former mathematician deciding how to do the judging.

Obviously this is highly subjective, I think it's unavoidable if we want to capture the question we care about. Reasons for this resolution method are that the proof may have flaws that can be fixed, or that may end up proving a weaker bound which achieves some but not all of the important consequences.

Preprint: https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.02515

Discussions:

• https://mathoverflow.net/questions/433949/consequences-resulting-from-yitang-zhangs-latest-claimed-results-on-landau-sieg

• https://old.reddit.com/r/math/comments/y93a86/eliundergraduate_the_hype_around_yitang_zhangs/

• https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33512338

Nov 7, 11:13pm: Is Yitang Zhang's preprint on Landau-Siegel zeros correct? → How correct is Yitang Zhang's preprint on Landau-Siegel zeros?