Biden ABC interview mention market: which words/phrases will Biden say?
Biden ABC interview mention market: which words/phrases will Biden say?
34
3.4kṀ38k
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
YES
Putin
Resolved
YES
China
Resolved
YES
"Covid", "Covid-19", or "Coronavirus"
Resolved
YES
Ukraine
Resolved
YES
Inflation
Resolved
YES
Immunity
Resolved
YES
New York Times
Resolved
YES
foreign leaders
Resolved
YES
NATO
Resolved
YES
if the Lord Almighty comes down and tells me that, I might do that
Resolved
YES
Well, Yeah, I’m sure. Look. I mean, if the Lord Almighty came down and said, "Joe, get outta the race," I'd get outta the race. The Lord Almighty's not comin' down.
Resolved
NO
"AI" OR "Artificial Intelligence"
Resolved
NO
Crypto
Resolved
NO
Corrupt
Resolved
NO
"Make America Great Again" OR "MAGA"
Resolved
NO
Insurrection
Resolved
NO
Rigged
Resolved
NO
Hunter Biden
Resolved
NO
Felon
Resolved
NO
Abortion

Each word/phrase resolves YES if Biden says it during the ABC interview (July 5); otherwise NO.

Plurals, possessives, and contractions count but otherwise an exact match is required, see specific rules below.

If no such interview is aired before August 5 (1 month after the scheduled date), all answers resolve NO.

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

  • Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.

  • Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)

  • Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"

Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)

  • Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"

  • Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same

  • Other word forms like America and American are not the same

  • Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"

Additional notes for clarity:

  • Any usage counts regardless of context.

  • Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word

  • Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.

  • Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")

    • It's a verbal debate so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.

Anyone can add answers but moderators may moderate new answers at their discretion (e.g. clarifying or N/A-ing them). Moderators are also welcome to resolve as soon as they hear the words said.

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10mo

Resolved. (If there are any errors, comment and we'll get them fixed.)

answered10mo
if the Lord Almighty comes down and tells me that, I might do that
10mo
bought Ṁ200 if the Lord Almighty... YES10mo

even the transcribers are at his mercy lol

10mo

😭😭😭

10mo

should probably close market at this point?

10mo

real

10mo

Market was intentionally open for live trading. But people adding new answers after it aired wasn't the plan, next time will plan to block adding new answers before it starts (Manifold does allow toggling it, but unfortunately doesn't allow setting it to happen at a future time.)

bought Ṁ50 Immunity YES10mo

Ziddletwix has already created a similar market but I like my ruleset a bit better

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