Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?

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resolved Jan 2

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve to YES, if at any point before the end of 2024, Ukrainian forces control majority of Crimea territory

resolution source: Institute for the Study of War, https://www.understandingwar.org/

Ukraine-Russia war

Ukraine Counteroffensive

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Should probably have larger separation from

predictedYES

@MartinModrak why?

@MartinRandall cause atm it's implying a very small chance of them taking it in 2024.

predictedNO

@Daniel_MC That sounds about right to me.

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