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MANIFOLD
Will Rafał Trzaskowski ever become the President of Poland?
32
Ṁ70Ṁ3.5k
2054
16%
chance

This will resolve to YES if in his lifetime Rafał Trzaskowski becomes elected the President of Poland

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opened a Ṁ454 YES at 10% order

@HillaryClinton wanna cash out?

opened a Ṁ490 YES at 11% order

So it could remain open for 67 years if he lives to 120!