Will Manifold hit 2,023 active daily users (7d avg) in 2023?
142
431
1.9K
resolved Aug 3
Resolved
YES

Manifold has hit record-high number of 1,973 active users daily (averaging over 7 days) on November 17, 2022.


It is on decline since then. Will it hit 2,023 in 2023?


This market asks whether the 7d Daily average of Manifold active users - displayed at https://manifold.markets/stats will hit 2,023 in 2023.

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predicted NO

Thank you for participating in this market! That was interesting to watch :)Now let's see if we can get to 5 and 10k!

predicted YES

resolves to yes

predicted NO

Why is there suddenly an influx of users?

predicted YES

@PunishedFurry this market + great twitter marketing by manifold

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@firstuserhere How did this get public traction?

predicted YES

@firstuserhere people like Paul Graham (2Million followers on twitter) tweeted about manifold yesterday, but this market was going viral before that. Manifold's official account made and posted a few meme-ish tweets which also went viral and got retweeted by some big accounts and from there on its a cascade

predicted NO

@firstuserhere ahhh. Thank you.

predicted NO

Ooops

Lol the shutoff of the stats page to provide more server compute for the LK99 market has made this market much more exciting.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@BoltonBailey Using the trader count from the main market as a proxy, it seems very likely the 1D will be well over. User retention also spiked with this market initially as well, so I'd expect a lot of them to stay until the market resolves (or at least for a day or two).

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The stats link goes to a 404 page?

@JeremyHon “Diverting power to LK-99 thread.”

bought Ṁ0 of YES

Big order for the haters @26%

predicted YES

I am very confused by the dates here.

@EdwardKmett sorry, corrected!

Title should be 'in 2023', and first line of description should be 'november 17, 2022'