Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
95
1kṀ27k2026
16%
chance
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Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA
Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official Resolution Source: The market will resolve based on NOAA's official numbers.
Fallback Option: If NOAA is disbanded or unable to provide its data, the resolution will be based on data from another credible agency or the global scientific consensus.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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