Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record” in the US?
7
1.2kṀ1688
Dec 31
8%
January
13%
February
18%
March
18%
April
18%
May
18%
June
18%
July
25%
August
25%
September
25%
October
24%
November
24%
December

Resolves according to NOAA Monthly Report (national), a tie will be resolved as 50%.

“Corresponding month” means that a January competes only with all previous Januaries, and July only with all previous Julys.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 NO

Wonder if some of these are overvalued?

(edit: oh whoops pardon, learning how reposts work)

From 2024, no months were the hottest in their record across the US:

Climate change will fuck us over, and these montsh are frequently the hottest ever globally, but I do wonder if these USA-specific climate options are overvalued?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules