January 2024: Will Bitcoin fall below $40,000?
163
1.5K
αΉ€1.5K
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES

If in January 2024 (ET timezone), at least one 30min Coingecko candle hits a low $40,000 or less, this will resolve YES.

In the case of uncertainty, the 7-day low price will be used.

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predicted NO

Thank you all for this market!

Let's try if it finishes the month below/above 40k

predicted YES

This one is resolved! I wish there was a way to auto resolve markets once they hit 0%/100% like a poll appears or something.

predicted NO

30 min candle

predicted YES

it was below 40k for nearly one hour

predicted YES
boughtαΉ€300NO

@uhh @oui You might want to take a look ...

predicted NO

@Lion What are you thinking?

predicted YES
predicted NO

@Lion You just bought 300 NO after it was decided?

predicted YES

@BTE Not me, I just linked that trade from uhh (the bot of oui), that bought no. I actually made a profit from this trade.

predicted YES
predicted NO

@Lion Haha, my bad. I see what I missed now.

bought αΉ€111 of YES

today is the day πŸ“‰

predicted YES

is this market in denial? this is a dead certainty to me at this point

sold αΉ€122 of YES

I just sold all my shares as arbitrage and now own 1000 shares elsewhere. The "What will happen in January 2024" market has been consistently trailing this market even though I own about half the shares for BTC downtrend values.

bought αΉ€10 of YES

Interesting critique, feel free to disagree:

https://x.com/JohnReedStark/status/1744025132295729612?s=20